Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parma · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Parma 0-1 Cagliari
Original prediction
Parma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Parma
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Parma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ParmaWLDDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CagliariWDDWD
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ParmaCagliari
38.6Attack36.8
49.1Defence40.4
31.6Form31.6
42.1Power38.9
1.49xG1.02