Pardubice IIvs
Benátky nad Jizerou
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 9/20/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pardubice II 2-3 Benátky nad Jizerou
Original prediction
Pardubice II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.0% | 41.5% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 26.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 23.8% | 31.6% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice II
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Pardubice II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40