Palmeirasvs
Vasco DA Gama
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Palmeiras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and palmeiras hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (69.8 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Serie A, favouring Palmeiras with 17.3% confidence, a 33% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
17.3%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40