Palmeirasvs
RB Bragantino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palmeiras · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Palmeiras 1-0 RB Bragantino, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Palmeiras 2-0 RB Bragantino
Original prediction
Palmeiras
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 61.4% | 63.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 22.2% | 23.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.73 | 16.3% | 13.7% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Palmeiras 1–0 RB Bragantino
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Palmeiras
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Palmeiras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PalmeirasLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoDWDLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PalmeirasRB Bragantino
58.1Attack41.9
76.3Defence61.3
71.0Form44.1
69.3Power50.6
1.53xG0.55