Padovavs
Hellas Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Padova 1-1 Hellas Verona
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.6% | 33.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.5% | 30.5% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.9% | 36.3% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PadovaWLDWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hellas VeronaLDWWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PadovaHellas Verona
34.2Attack50.0
57.0Defence50.0
40.4Form50.0
46.6Power50.0
0.99xG1.09