Orlando City SCvs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City SC 2-2 New York City FC
Original prediction
Orlando City SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.5% | 37.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.4% | 26.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 31.1% | 35.7% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Orlando City SC
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60