Orlando City SCvs
DC United
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City SC 4-1 DC United
Original prediction
Orlando City SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 55.5% | 49.6% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 22.0% | 19.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 22.5% | 30.9% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Orlando City SC
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20