Orlando City SCvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando City SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Orlando City SC 3-2 Columbus Crew
Original prediction
Orlando City SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 45.4% | 38.1% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.2% | 26.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 30.4% | 35.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Orlando City SC
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Orlando City SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00