Olimpia Grudziądzvs
Nieciecza
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 10/27/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Olimpia Grudziądz 0-1 Nieciecza
Original prediction
Nieciecza
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.3% | 35.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 26.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.6% | 37.8% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40