Motor Lublinvs
Raków Częstochowa
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 10/27/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motor Lublin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Motor Lublin 1-1 Raków Częstochowa
Original prediction
Motor Lublin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.2% | 43.8% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 26.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.7% | 29.5% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Motor Lublin
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Motor Lublin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20