Oleksandriavs
Probiy Horodenka
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 10/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oleksandria · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Oleksandria 2-0 Probiy Horodenka, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oleksandria 2-0 Probiy Horodenka
Original prediction
Oleksandria
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.8% | 67.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.6% | 19.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 7.78 | 11.6% | 13.4% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
Oleksandria 2–0 Probiy Horodenka
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Oleksandria
Probability
67.1%
Model confidence
67.1%
Oleksandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00