Oleksandriavs
Lokomotiv Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oleksandria · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Oleksandria 1-0 Lokomotiv Kyiv, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Oleksandria 1-3 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Original prediction
Oleksandria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.8% | 50.6% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 28.2% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 6.00 | 15.0% | 21.2% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Oleksandria 1–0 Lokomotiv Kyiv
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Oleksandria
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Oleksandria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00