Oldhamvs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oldham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Oldham 0-0 Accrington ST
Original prediction
Oldham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.7% | 38.7% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.3% | 28.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 21.1% | 32.7% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Oldham
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Oldham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OldhamLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Accrington STDWDDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
OldhamAccrington ST
37.5Attack48.1
45.8Defence48.1
29.2Form37.0
38.6Power46.7
1.27xG1.42