O'Higginsvs
Deportes Santa Cruz
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O'Higgins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
O'Higgins 2-1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Original prediction
O'Higgins
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 44.0% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 24.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.83 | 18.9% | 31.3% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
O'Higgins
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40