O'Higginsvs
Concepción
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 10/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O'Higgins · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
O'Higgins 2-0 Concepción
Original prediction
O'Higgins
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.0% | 38.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.6% | 27.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.4% | 34.2% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
O'Higgins
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
O'HigginsWWWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ConcepciónLWWDL
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
O'HigginsConcepción
70.4Attack59.3
63.0Defence74.1
74.1Form70.4
70.7Power68.1
1.37xG1.24