GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Prykarpattia · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Nyva Ternopil 1-2 Prykarpattia

Original prediction

Prykarpattia

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6134.4%32.6%-1.9 pts
Draw2.9130.8%30.1%-0.7 pts
Away2.5834.8%37.3%2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Prykarpattia

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Prykarpattia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva TernopilLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PrykarpattiaDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nyva TernopilPrykarpattia
0.0Attack44.4
66.7Defence77.8
0.0Form44.4
23.7Power54.9
0.96xG1.17
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