GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ahrobiznes Volochysk · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Nyva Ternopil 0-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Original prediction

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 11:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.5817.1%31.1%14.0 pts
Draw3.2334.8%31.4%-3.3 pts
Away2.3348.2%37.5%-10.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva TernopilWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ahrobiznes VolochyskWLDWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nyva TernopilAhrobiznes Volochysk
50.0Attack40.0
66.7Defence73.3
50.0Form53.3
56.2Power57.6
1.05xG0.99
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