Nublensevs
D. Puerto Montt
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/26/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nublense 2-1 D. Puerto Montt
Original prediction
Nublense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.9% | 40.6% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 28.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 18.3% | 31.3% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40