GGOALVIO

England · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Nottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham

Original prediction

Nottingham Forest

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4139.3%43.7%4.4 pts
Draw3.4027.9%26.8%-1.1 pts
Away2.9032.8%29.5%-3.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nottingham ForestDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TottenhamLWLDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nottingham ForestTottenham
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence16.7
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power13.2
1.81xG1.18
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