Chelseavs
Manchester United
SCHEDULEDEngland · Premier League · 10/31/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Chelsea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChelseaLDWLW
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Manchester UnitedDLLWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChelseaManchester United
66.7Attack53.3
20.0Defence46.7
46.7Form33.3
47.3Power45.0
1.96xG1.81