Northamptonvs
Tranmere
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northampton · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Northampton 0-0 Tranmere, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Northampton 0-1 Tranmere
Original prediction
Northampton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.3% | 39.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.9% | 32.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.8% | 28.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Projected Score
Northampton 0–0 Tranmere
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Northampton
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Northampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NorthamptonWDLLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TranmereLDLDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NorthamptonTranmere
22.2Attack42.4
74.1Defence54.5
37.0Form36.4
46.7Power46.3
0.82xG0.65