Nõmme United IIvs
Viimsi
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme United II 1-0 Viimsi
Original prediction
Viimsi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 22.1% | 15.2% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.0% | 16.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.9% | 68.7% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
68.7%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nõmme United IIWLLLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ViimsiWLWWL
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Nõmme United IIViimsi
54.8Attack66.7
28.6Defence66.7
35.7Form59.5
41.7Power63.0
1.15xG2.88