Nõmme United IIvs
FCI Levadia II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme United II 0-1 FCI Levadia II
Original prediction
FCI Levadia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.5% | 34.4% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.0% | 21.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 44.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
FCI Levadia II
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60