Nõmme Kalju IIvs
Nõmme United II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/21/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nõmme United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme Kalju II 2-3 Nõmme United II
Original prediction
Nõmme United II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.5% | 25.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 21.8% | 18.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 52.7% | 56.2% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Nõmme United II
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Nõmme United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60