Nõmme Kalju IIvs
FC Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nõmme Kalju II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme Kalju II 1-2 FC Tallinn
Original prediction
Nõmme Kalju II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.1% | 38.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.5% | 26.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.3% | 35.4% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Nõmme Kalju II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Nõmme Kalju II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20