GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Nizhny Novgorod are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Volga Ulyanovsk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nizhny Novgorod hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (89.3 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the First League, while Nizhny Novgorod holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nizhny Novgorod

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

12.5%

Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nizhny NovgorodWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Volga UlyanovskWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nizhny NovgorodVolga Ulyanovsk
100.0Attack40.0
66.7Defence46.7
100.0Form40.0
89.3Power44.4
2.10xG0.79
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