Nizhny Novgorodvs
Volga Ulyanovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 Volga Ulyanovsk
Original prediction
Nizhny Novgorod
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 62.5% | 68.2% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.2% | 18.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 6.05 | 15.3% | 13.4% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Nizhny Novgorod
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40