Nizhny Novgorodvs
Leningradets
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod 6-0 Leningradets
Original prediction
Nizhny Novgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 66.3% | 73.8% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.6% | 16.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 7.07 | 13.1% | 10.1% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Nizhny Novgorod
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40