Nizhny Novgorodvs
Enisey
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nizhny Novgorod 5-0 Enisey
Original prediction
Nizhny Novgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 58.5% | 64.3% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.2% | 19.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.14 | 18.3% | 15.9% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Nizhny Novgorod
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80