Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool
Original prediction
Liverpool
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NewcastleDLLWL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LiverpoolDLDLD
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NewcastleLiverpool
74.6Attack75.4
45.6Defence64.0
52.6Form71.9
56.3Power70.7
1.66xG2.36