Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Everton
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Everton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NewcastleWLWDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EvertonWWDDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NewcastleEverton
60.0Attack40.0
40.0Defence80.0
53.3Form60.0
53.0Power62.4
1.33xG1.39