Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arsenal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Arsenal
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Arsenal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NewcastleLLWLW
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ArsenalDWWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
NewcastleArsenal
47.6Attack52.4
33.3Defence76.2
38.1Form85.7
42.0Power73.0
0.96xG1.93