New York Red Bullsvs
Inter Miami
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New York Red Bulls 2-0 Inter Miami
Original prediction
Inter Miami
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.48 | 27.0% | 27.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 22.3% | 25.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 50.7% | 47.5% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00