New York Red Bullsvs
Chicago Fire
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and chicago Fire hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely result in the Major League Soccer, favouring Chicago Fire with 8.8% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
8.8%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60