New York Red Bullsvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire
Original prediction
Chicago Fire
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
New York Red BullsLLWLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago FireWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
50.0Attack63.2
30.0Defence56.1
41.7Form61.4
43.0Power61.0
1.35xG2.57