New York City FCvs
Los Angeles FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 01:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 34.1% | 31.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 25.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.7% | 43.0% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60