New England Revolutionvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
New England Revolution 0-3 Seattle Sounders
Original prediction
New England Revolution
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.6% | 42.5% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.4% | 28.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
New England Revolution
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20