Neratovice-Byškovicevs
Pardubice II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL B · 10/10/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pardubice II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neratovice-Byškovice 3-0 Pardubice II
Original prediction
Pardubice II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.38 | 26.6% | 24.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.7% | 25.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 48.7% | 50.1% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Pardubice II
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Pardubice II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20