NEOMvs
Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut
COMPLETEDWorld · AGCFF Gulf Champions League · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NEOM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NEOM 4-0 Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut
Original prediction
NEOM
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 90.4% | 51.2% | -39.1 pts |
| Draw | 13.13 | 7.1% | 23.4% | 16.2 pts |
| Away | 37.50 | 2.5% | 25.4% | 22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-39.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
NEOM
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
NEOM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00