Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Qatar SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.0% | 26.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.3% | 40.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Qatar SC
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Qatar SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al RiffaWWLDD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Qatar SCWDDLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al RiffaQatar SC
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
7.0Power45.3
1.71xG2.00