Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nebitci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nebitci 1-1 Aşgabat
Original prediction
Nebitci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Nebitci
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Nebitci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NebitciWDLLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AşgabatWLLLL
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NebitciAşgabat
22.9Attack39.6
47.9Defence27.1
35.4Form27.1
38.6Power33.0
1.34xG1.12