Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aşgabat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 03:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Aşgabat
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Aşgabat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AşgabatLDLLD
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MerwLWDWL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AşgabatMerw
39.7Attack30.2
27.0Defence17.5
23.8Form33.3
32.1Power29.4
2.13xG1.22