Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ahal 2-0 Şagadam, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 03:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Ahal 2–0 Şagadam
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ahal
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AhalLLWWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ŞagadamLLWLW
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AhalŞagadam
60.6Attack27.0
65.2Defence47.6
63.6Form30.2
62.3Power37.7
2.22xG0.50