Nashville SCvs
Toronto FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nashville SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC
Original prediction
Nashville SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 66.6% | 56.5% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 19.3% | 23.2% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.69 | 14.0% | 20.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Nashville SC
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40