Nashville SCvs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati
Original prediction
Nashville SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 52.3% | 73.2% | 20.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 23.3% | 14.2% | -9.0 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.5% | 12.6% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
Nashville SC
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00