GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Nashville SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (71.4 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

77.9%

Model confidence

9.1%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nashville SCLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC CincinnatiWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
64.8Attack83.3
74.1Defence18.5
74.1Form48.1
71.4Power50.9
3.64xG1.19
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