Nashville SCvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/20/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire
Original prediction
Nashville SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.3% | 63.4% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.6% | 19.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 24.1% | 17.1% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Nashville SC
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20