Nart Cherkesskvs
Rostov II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nart Cherkessk 0-0 Rostov II, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nart Cherkessk 1-3 Rostov II
Original prediction
Rostov II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.5% | 34.3% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.9% | 29.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.5% | 36.7% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Nart Cherkessk 0–0 Rostov II
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Rostov II
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Rostov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nart CherkesskWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rostov IIDLDLW
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Nart CherkesskRostov II
44.9Attack62.8
71.8Defence69.2
52.6Form65.4
57.1Power65.1
0.86xG0.99