GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nart Cherkessk · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Nart Cherkessk 0-0 Druzhba, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Nart Cherkessk 0-1 Druzhba

Original prediction

Nart Cherkessk

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8848.2%47.4%-0.8 pts
Draw3.2427.9%28.8%0.9 pts
Away3.7923.9%23.8%-0.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.8 pts

Projected Score

Nart Cherkessk 0–0 Druzhba

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Nart Cherkessk

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Nart Cherkessk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nart CherkesskWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DruzhbaDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Nart CherkesskDruzhba
42.9Attack42.9
69.8Defence60.3
49.2Form47.6
54.8Power51.7
1.10xG0.70
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