Nart Cherkesskvs
Angust Nazran
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nart Cherkessk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nart Cherkessk 0-0 Angust Nazran, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nart Cherkessk 3-0 Angust Nazran
Original prediction
Nart Cherkessk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 57.3% | 54.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.8% | 30.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 6.14 | 14.9% | 14.9% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
Nart Cherkessk 0–0 Angust Nazran
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Nart Cherkessk
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Nart Cherkessk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80