GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie A Women · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Milano W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Napoli W 0-0 Inter Milano W

Original prediction

Inter Milano W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.7515.7%25.1%9.5 pts
Draw4.1721.6%24.0%2.4 pts
Away1.4362.8%50.9%-11.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–27%

Predicted outcome

Inter Milano W

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Inter Milano W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Napoli WWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Inter Milano WWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Napoli WInter Milano W
66.7Attack77.8
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
44.0Power93.5
1.33xG2.02
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