Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional 2-0 Estoril
Original prediction
Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Nacional
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NacionalDLDDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
EstorilDDDLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NacionalEstoril
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.46xG1.24