Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Excelsior
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MVVWLLDW
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ExcelsiorDLDWW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MVVExcelsior
33.3Attack55.6
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power58.8
1.72xG2.09